Shoddy-Cowbell
0x8aaf65fb107a8ae6f64f18ffd1f4e75f00897beb
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.00
Total PnL
$-122.38
Realised
$-18.47
Win rate
39%
145 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.25
$-0.25
- YES
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.25
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$0.21May 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.50May 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.50May 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?$0.49May 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$0.10May 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.50May 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.50May 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $89,000 on May 13?$0.50May 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?$0.01May 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?$0.50May 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.93May 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Moon-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.55May 13, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.50May 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.50May 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.50May 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02May 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02May 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$0.02May 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$0.03May 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?$0.27May 13, 17:34 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 145 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".