0x8ab0739a1e8d58a3cb72211e0e1f2479741ba0e2
0x8ab0739a1e8d58a3cb72211e0e1f2479741ba0e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-559.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 6?$170.72Apr 6, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 6?$169.13Apr 6, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?$169.14Apr 6, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?$150.56Apr 2, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$150.56Apr 2, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$142.88Mar 28, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?$142.88Mar 27, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?$122.93Mar 25, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?$124.71Mar 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?$122.88Mar 25, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$122.89Mar 24, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$118.34Mar 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$118.34Mar 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$117.50Mar 20, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19?$117.49Mar 20, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19?$117.26Mar 19, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$117.26Mar 19, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$116.79Mar 16, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 10?$116.80Mar 12, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 10?$116.68Mar 10, 11:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $104.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.