0x8ab0a9dba5964cea23cc9bba3c38bee88813ccb6
0x8ab0a9dba5964cea23cc9bba3c38bee88813ccb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.20
Total PnL
$-2.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
1 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be <14m square kilometers?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- NO
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Mar 25, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? $1.00Mar 25, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be <14m square kilometers?$1.00Mar 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$1.00Mar 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$1.85Mar 13, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.