Remorseful-Citizen
0x8ab20679f994cd632b4770c23e87d29090b45cfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
6907 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Biden show up for debate?
2062 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the debate?
1559 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Biden drops out by July 4?
1190 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- TRUMP
Who is asked the first debate question?
298 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2024$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Biden get a name wrong during the debate?$14.04Jun 28, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMBiden closes eyes for 3+ seconds during the debate?$1.9KJun 28, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden say "Convicted Felon" during the debate?$104.93Jun 28, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho is asked the first debate question?$70.00Jun 27, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden closes eyes for 3+ seconds during the debate?$500.00Jun 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$50.00Jun 27, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during the debate?$1.1KJun 27, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden get a name wrong during the debate?$10.00Jun 27, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden show up for debate?$40.00Jun 27, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Convicted Felon" during the debate?$200.00Jun 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out by July 4? $50.00Jun 27, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $239.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.