Sinful-Floodplain
0x8ab5a46dca08c9b46ae5b084ef650064ab73fff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.12
Realised
$14.53
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
413 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-12.27
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2024$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump wins 283-255 - AZ, GA, MI, NV, NC
25 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Trump wins 270-268 - GA, NC, PA
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Biden drop out by Monday?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2024$0.00
$-16.40
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI
17 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.38
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
15 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
12 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$1.00Oct 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$1.00Oct 7, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$20.00Oct 7, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$1.00Oct 6, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$2.00Oct 6, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$2.50Oct 6, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$1.00Oct 6, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?$10.00Oct 6, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins 306-232 - AZ, GA, MI, PA, WI, NC $1.23Nov 4, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins 281-257 - AZ, GA, NC, PA $2.45Nov 4, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI $0.38Nov 4, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala wins 276-262 - PA, NV, MI, WI $1.00Nov 4, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$0.50Nov 4, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI $1.00Nov 4, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?$6.90Nov 4, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 5 swing states?$0.80Nov 4, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 3 swing states?$0.60Nov 4, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 4 swing states?$1.60Nov 4, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$5.00Nov 4, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$30.00Nov 2, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".