Thrifty-Job
0x8acb49b04d8d85103dd914c808cc16c67d45de36
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$40.50
Total PnL
$0.72
Realised
$-1.61
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$7.50
$4.50
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
7 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.93
$0.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
6 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.84
$0.18
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$4.30
$0.30
- NO
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$2.26
$0.11
- NO
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?
2 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.52
$0.05
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.50
$0.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity AI buy TikTok?$2.00Apr 20, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.00Apr 20, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$6.60Apr 20, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.50Apr 20, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.66Apr 20, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$4.99Apr 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.58Apr 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$7.82Apr 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration before July?$3.00Apr 19, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.80Apr 19, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$8.90Apr 19, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Apr 19, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$5.20Apr 19, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win Eurovision 2025?$23.96Apr 19, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$5.00Apr 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2000 in April?$4.00Apr 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Eurovision 2025?$24.00Apr 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$12.88Apr 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$9.40Apr 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$9.67Apr 18, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $84.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.