Jubilant-Expectation
0x8acbb2907eaa31449eade34c2f01de7bd57563b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$181.92
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$25.07
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
523 shares @ 87.5¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.07
$-336.46
- YES
Will Trump resign before 2027?
600 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.00
$-18.00
- YES
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.38
$2.38
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 27-November 2?
6500 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-301.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on December 11?
3848 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.90
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
950 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-158.10
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?
505 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$60.00Jun 11, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$60.00Jun 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$42.38Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$25.04Jun 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-2.5)$11.68Jun 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$16.01Jun 11, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 9, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 9, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$8.62Jun 6, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.15Jun 6, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor CEX insolvent in 2026?$22.00Apr 6, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$13.50Mar 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$457.54Mar 2, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.60Mar 1, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$7.50Feb 28, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $38.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.