Lively-Witch
0x8ace15e628d08f34ccd858680a35648a8d1ffcb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-282.44
Realised
$27.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
30140 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-98.98
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
3508 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-200.84
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
227 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.00Oct 9, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$100.84Dec 18, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Korean President impeached by Friday?$0.00Dec 8, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?$225.28Dec 8, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill trump tweet 1-2 times Nov 29-Dec 6?$51.60Dec 5, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid launch a token in November?$0.00Dec 5, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill $HAWK FDV be $30,000,000 or more one day after launch?$175.08Dec 5, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $HAWK FDV be $30,000,000 or more one day after launch?$250.52Dec 4, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korean President impeached by Friday?$50.00Dec 4, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill trump tweet 1-2 times Nov 29-Dec 6?$100.00Dec 4, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$100.00Dec 4, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid launch a token in November?$10.00Nov 29, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$781.52Nov 29, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?$189.92Nov 27, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRipple above $1.46 on November 29?$189.92Nov 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple above $1.46 on November 29?$204.03Nov 27, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$204.04Nov 27, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMCoinbase #1 finance app on Monday?$0.00Nov 26, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$210.45Nov 24, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoinbase #1 finance app on Monday?$300.00Nov 24, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $146.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".