Nimble-Obstacle
0x8ae2ad295595b8bd7d6fd07f98a78516b36f1032
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$237.83
Total PnL
$-412.96
Realised
$-18.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
130 shares @ 19.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$95.81
$71.08
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?
831 shares @ 6.6¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.37
$-7.71
- YES
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.75
$-29.25
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
166 shares @ 3.0¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.31
$13.31
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.41
$-7.59
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$10.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
148 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$6.51
$0.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.50
$-19.50
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?
538 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.50
$-116.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$269.49Jun 2, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$9.54Jun 2, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$6.15Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$10.44Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$22.73Jun 2, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$26.52Jun 2, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$26.18Jun 2, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$301.62Jun 2, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$5.27Jun 2, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$19.62Jun 2, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$79.04Jun 2, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$26.36Jun 2, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$26.56Jun 2, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.31Jun 2, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.26Jun 2, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.34Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.33Jun 2, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$26.56Jun 2, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.30Jun 2, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.35Jun 2, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $13.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 23:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".