Defenseless-Oven
0x8ae60887e73971102aa06c120f1280519927efba
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$16.73
Total PnL
$-2.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$4.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.17
$0.17
- NO
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$4.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?
4 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.09
$0.09
- YES
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$4.00Nov 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by November 15?$4.00Nov 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025?$4.00Nov 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?$4.00Nov 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$4.15Nov 9, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.36Nov 9, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$4.55Nov 9, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on October 19?$4.02Oct 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?$3.60Oct 19, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on October 19?$4.00Oct 19, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$4.00Oct 19, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$4.00Oct 19, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.00Oct 19, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antonio Saravia win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.24Oct 19, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tidjane Thiam win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$2.29Oct 19, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US recognize Palestine in 2025?$2.34Oct 19, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maya Parbhoe be the next president of Suriname after the election?$2.23Oct 19, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu before June?$2.42Oct 19, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump suspend habeas corpus before July? $2.53Oct 19, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEM Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June?$2.56Oct 19, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".