0x8aef5421c58c6a3bfc361c6665b55406e4d4e024
0x8aef5421c58c6a3bfc361c6665b55406e4d4e024
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$147.03
Total PnL
$-29.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$147.03
$97.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22?
69 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-39.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 20?
51 shares @ 97.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 22?
42 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.79
- NO
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?
41 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: FC UTA Arad (-1.5)$13.07Apr 11, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?$19.45Apr 11, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMCalifornia-San Diego Tritons vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)$32.26Apr 11, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$50.00Apr 11, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$52.00Apr 11, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 20?$53.05Apr 11, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 20?$53.19Apr 11, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$136.14Apr 11, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?$25.20Mar 22, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $380?$46.00Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russell 2000 (RUT) close over 2,480 on Friday of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$51.54Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4AM ET$51.66Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 16 above $210?$52.16Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 16 above $245?$52.63Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 16 above $295?$102.64Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 22?$1.59Mar 21, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 22?$3.13Mar 21, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 22?$3.79Mar 21, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 22?$1.87Mar 21, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 22?$1.40Mar 20, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $23.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.