Harmonious-Clan
0x8afeb601b87a13c01b5facdcf8f6074f3726a698
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.79
Total PnL
$-14.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
88 shares @ 10.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.79
$-1.54
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4764 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4763 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
4761 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
4752 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2381 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2380 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2379 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2378 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
101 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-50.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.33Mar 24, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$9.28Mar 24, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$9.10Feb 4, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 4, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?$1.04Jan 7, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?$1.00Dec 17, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.09Dec 17, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.01Dec 11, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 4, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Nov 12, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Nov 12, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Nov 12, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Nov 12, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Nov 12, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Nov 12, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $375.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 01:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".