Neglected-Testament
0x8affb8d7dca84337b9d9c6500792269bae54d174
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
0%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
85218 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-269.80
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
19645 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-164.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
4083 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-71.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
1032 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-267.08
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?
528 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-187.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
299 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-83.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
245 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-114.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
232 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-111.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
209 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-105.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.33Jun 23, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$10.55Jun 23, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$10.29Jun 23, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$10.21Jun 20, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$40.46Jun 15, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$10.00May 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$10.00May 23, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$6.00May 23, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$100.00May 23, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$30.00May 23, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$30.00May 23, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$12.00May 23, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$12.05May 23, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$2.00May 23, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$5.00May 23, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$10.12May 23, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$50.00May 22, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$22.22May 22, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$50.00May 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$100.00May 22, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
48 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $18.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.