Wild-Slot-Founder
0x8b01efa175ae63a7d46ed4713f001c141e2afb11
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$74.42
Total PnL
$-45.19
Realised
$-10.83
Win rate
50%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Joe Strada be the FL-11 Republican nominee?
29 shares @ 62.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$16.45
$-1.51
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$12.60
$4.20
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
20 shares @ 39.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$7.20
$-0.60
- YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$7.10
$-0.10
- NO
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?
8 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$5.63
$-0.35
- YES
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?
40 shares @ 23.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.40
$-4.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?
7 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2026$4.78
$0.15
- NO
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
20 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$4.70
$-1.90
- NO
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.64
$0.86
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.49
$-0.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$2.62Jul 25, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?$2.46Jul 25, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$17.60Jul 25, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$10.00Jul 25, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$10.00Jul 25, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?$5.20Jul 25, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?$4.20Jul 25, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$7.20Jul 25, 15:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?$9.40Jul 25, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?$5.40Jul 25, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?$6.86Jul 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$26.76Jul 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$7.80Jul 25, 13:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?$12.24Jul 25, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?$3.06Jul 25, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?$15.40Jul 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$13.80Jul 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$15.80Jul 25, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$16.80Jul 25, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$8.80Jul 25, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.