Wallet digest

active

Activity score

57/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$4.27

Total PnL

$-1.1K

Realised

$-50.74

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$4.27
$1.41
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
460 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-251.97
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
333 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-197.09
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
287 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-112.74
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
273 shares @ 72.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-198.02
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
201 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-98.44
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
105 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-49.23
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
98 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-49.22
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
97 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-49.22
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
88 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-49.24

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$52.18Feb 15, 13:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 13:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$42.12Feb 15, 13:15 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$68.75Feb 15, 13:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$50.00Feb 15, 13:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$50.00Feb 15, 13:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$200.00Feb 15, 12:54 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$345.81Feb 15, 12:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$181.56Feb 15, 12:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$50.00Feb 15, 12:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$76.91Feb 15, 12:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$50.00Feb 15, 12:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$100.00Feb 15, 12:25 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$12.00Feb 14, 20:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$8.45Feb 14, 20:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$350.76Feb 14, 20:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$50.00Feb 14, 20:35 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$12.22Feb 14, 20:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$200.00Feb 14, 20:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$593.53Feb 14, 20:29 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry90 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk81 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 44
Avg trade size: $96.50
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 14, 19:31 UTC
Last active: Feb 15, 13:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:10:02 UTC·src:Polymarket Data