Thin-Mimosa
0x8b1357fb1323c325590823b9e1daab69239f0c4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$272.40
Total PnL
$-99.17
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
280 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.49
$3.59
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.50
$-9.49
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
263 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.70
$-3.18
- YES
Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
140 shares @ 15.6¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.60
$-2.20
- NO
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$19.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
57 shares @ 26.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$14.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
187 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$13.75
$0.62
- YES
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.50
$0.00
- YES
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 38.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.95
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$5.86Jun 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$5.81Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$2.06Jun 14, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$5.11Jun 14, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$7.00Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.93Jun 13, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$5.23Jun 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.43Jun 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.04Jun 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$3.50Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$3.60Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.97Jun 13, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$10.22Jun 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$2.49Jun 13, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$4.10Jun 13, 01:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$5.11Jun 12, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$5.00Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.