Milky-Tattler
0x8b171f3a09cfa4050a94105ad34b161ed6e7cb13
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
154
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$100.94
Win rate
40%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 154- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
435 shares @ 72.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$384.62
$69.85
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
357 shares @ 69.7¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$313.82
$65.34
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 75.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$236.60
$31.61
- YES
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
685 shares @ 2.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.63
$36.05
- YES
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
498 shares @ 10.7¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.33
$-18.75
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
312 shares @ 27.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.39
$-61.03
- YES
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
403 shares @ 17.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.98
$-47.28
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
124 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.67
$0.62
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
14 shares @ 88.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.16
$-0.52
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 83.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.07
$1.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
30 closed markets, 40% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $238.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.