Black-Birdhouse
0x8b19c5e3d53bf7678798d1d985cd9f60202ab9ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.08
Realised
$4.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
86 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
76 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-28.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
16 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
14 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
13 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.03Mar 21, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.22Mar 21, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.92Mar 21, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.33Mar 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 1, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $0.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 03:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 00:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.