Loose-Leek
0x8b1b0f2e8dc8764703772ef6bf884116d0f97728
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on March 12?
147 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Delcy" during Kentucky visit?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 12?
56 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$2.00Mar 11, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$1.00Mar 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$1.00Mar 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$1.00Mar 11, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on March 12?$1.00Mar 11, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on March 13?$0.21Mar 11, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 13?$1.00Mar 11, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$7.83Mar 11, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$1.00Mar 11, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.00Mar 11, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.00Mar 11, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 12?$2.00Mar 11, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$2.00Mar 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15?$1.00Mar 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on March 13?$1.00Mar 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?$2.00Mar 11, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 22:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.