0x8b1b80241f2f15b1f8ee9f72e3344b6cfe284446
0x8b1b80241f2f15b1f8ee9f72e3344b6cfe284446
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$136.32
Total PnL
$-53.21
Realised
$0.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
136 shares @ 14.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$136.32
$116.32
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
379 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
98 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Jan 19, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$50.00Jan 12, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.46Jan 12, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$20.00Jan 2, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$20.00Jan 2, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$20.00Jan 2, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$20.00Jan 2, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$277.96Dec 29, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?$20.00Dec 24, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$20.00Dec 23, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?$20.00Dec 21, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Dec 21, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $44.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.