0x8b1cd879ca6250cd15f98653c950c25bedd6d8a9
0x8b1cd879ca6250cd15f98653c950c25bedd6d8a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$233.72
Total PnL
$6.22
Realised
$96.95
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
78 shares @ 71.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.15
$9.19
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
41 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$40.69
$20.34
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 63.4¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$39.30
$1.24
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
62 shares @ 56.6¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.63
$-0.37
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.69
$-9.31
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
42 shares @ 50.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.42
$-2.51
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.90
$-20.11
- OVER
O/U 0.5 Rounds
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.94
$-0.79
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?
1779 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
215 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.20Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.62Jun 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.80Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.40Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.88Jun 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$17.18Jun 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.60Jun 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.60Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$15.12Jun 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.20Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.90Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.10Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.34Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.30Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$18.64Jun 13, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$8.48Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$13.80Jun 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.56Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$12.04Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$13.60Jun 13, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $10.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.