Cuddly-File
0x8b1f80020a5c010a52791ab3fd695ae74eca4eeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$8.12
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- CLIPPERS
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)
1192 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-667.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1020 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-8.64
- YES
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1020 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.80
- CLIPPERS
Warriors vs. Clippers
707 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-466.85
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 51% and 53%?
375 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will Cyprus vs. Moldova end in a draw?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Kaillie Armbruster Humphries (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - Women's Monobob at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
338 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- OHIO STATE
Miami vs. Ohio State
300 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-152.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.