Realistic-Confirmation
0x8b23af70c65b185345bb5f03c921e45b725535b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 10PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
1129 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
564 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
33 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.01Mar 12, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.15Mar 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$9.39Mar 12, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?$5.01Mar 12, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?$5.00Mar 12, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.67Mar 12, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$8.62Mar 12, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.04Mar 6, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Mar 6, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 6, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 6, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".