0x8b2d180d95a6bbab9088a72e26f6146f5380a9cd
0x8b2d180d95a6bbab9088a72e26f6146f5380a9cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$61.03
Total PnL
$0.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.15
$3.15
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$4.17
$2.17
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.77
$0.77
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.45
$0.45
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of August 10 2026?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.42
$0.42
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?
6 shares @ 31.2¢·now 33.9¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$2.03Aug 11, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?$2.02Aug 11, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$5.00Aug 10, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$2.00Aug 10, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$0.00Aug 10, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of August 10 2026?$2.05Aug 10, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of August 10 2026?$2.03Aug 10, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWalmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?$2.02Aug 9, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$2.04Aug 9, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$2.03Aug 9, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$2.08Aug 8, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$2.03Aug 8, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$2.06Aug 8, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?$2.07Aug 7, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$0.00Aug 7, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$3.08Aug 7, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?$2.05Aug 7, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 7, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.00Aug 6, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?$2.03Aug 6, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.