Harmonious-Bill
0x8b2fb797cfb8ae933d4f1ce97780b98bcce97241
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$17.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
4501 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-599.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
3683 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-78.49
- YES
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?
2715 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-138.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
2681 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-54.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6PM ET
2111 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
2000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-01?
993 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-133.00
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-01?
821 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
812 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$13.50Mar 2, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?$139.89Feb 27, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$5.00Feb 10, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$21.59Feb 10, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$42.32Feb 10, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In$151.84Feb 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seahawks (-5.5)$97.92Feb 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$98.03Feb 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSeahawks vs. Patriots$96.88Feb 7, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$11.23Feb 7, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$100.00Feb 5, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?$5.45Feb 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$100.00Feb 5, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$0.00Feb 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$188.48Feb 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$100.00Feb 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$100.00Feb 5, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $101.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.