Waterlogged-Behold
0x8b2fc8e5b9084c32b0883ab62efd7a85535f08c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
309 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
300 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-297.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET
300 shares @ 97.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-293.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
287 shares @ 79.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-227.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
222 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-139.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
200 shares @ 91.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-183.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
200 shares @ 76.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-153.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
200 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-54.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
200 shares @ 89.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-179.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
200 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-56.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$107.95Jul 30, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$96.75Jul 30, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$103.11Jul 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$96.47Jul 30, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$31.37Jul 30, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$28.51Jul 30, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$109.05Jul 30, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$100.05Jul 30, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$96.81Jul 30, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$96.29Jul 30, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$123.67Jul 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$97.49Jul 30, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$102.44Jul 30, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$96.43Jul 30, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$100.00Jul 30, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$53.21Jul 30, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$64.56Jul 30, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$62.02Jul 30, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$271.43Jul 30, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$195.89Jul 30, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $101.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 19:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.