Harsh-Glove
0x8b3ea2006fddc6240d6399445f4acaf8db88cccf
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$68.36
Total PnL
$-25.11
Realised
$-5.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 85.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$37.41
$-2.59
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.57
$0.57
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
102 shares @ 9.8¢·now 5.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.77
$-4.23
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump dance today?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 15?
25 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- HEROIC
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- GIANTX
Valorant: GIANTX vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.18Jun 2, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.00Jun 2, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.45May 7, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance today?$1.00Apr 26, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova$1.00Apr 26, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$7.14Mar 6, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.69Feb 7, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 19?$0.00Feb 2, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$0.00Feb 2, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?$0.00Feb 2, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?$1.95Jan 28, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?$1.50Jan 28, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$12.47Jan 27, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 26?$40.00Jan 26, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 26?$39.96Jan 26, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 25?$10.00Jan 26, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 25?$10.00Jan 25, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 25?$10.00Jan 25, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 25?$30.00Jan 25, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $8.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 09:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".