Bossy-Tolerant
0x8b3f829d334f4e2d5502da61f6366ec250639f70
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.67
Total PnL
$-4.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.41
$1.41
- OLIVEIRA
Oliveira vs. Gamrot
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$2.45
$1.20
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.81
$0.56
- GUARDIANS
Guardians vs. Twins
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will Russia vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TIGERS
Tigers vs. Cardinals
3 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BREWERS
Orioles vs. Brewers
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOliveira vs. Gamrot$1.25Oct 9, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$1.00Oct 9, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2025-10-09?$1.25Oct 9, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?$1.00Oct 9, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.25Oct 9, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$5.00Oct 9, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMTigers vs. Cardinals$2.37Oct 9, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23?$4.52Oct 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers vs. Cardinals$1.16May 21, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOrioles vs. Brewers$1.00May 21, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGuardians vs. Twins$1.14May 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers vs. Cardinals$1.22May 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGuardians vs. Twins$1.19May 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23?$1.22May 19, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lazio win on 2025-04-10?$0.00May 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Clippers$0.00May 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.41May 19, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Warriors$12.50May 19, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Warriors$1.00Apr 9, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Clippers$1.00Apr 9, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.