Urban-Vintage
0x8b41c8315cb0f26d1a4aea3cb013604ac1b7c0a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-131.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on November 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 8?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 13?
43 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 23?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on April 8?
38 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on April 8?
34 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 21?
26 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?$8.78May 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 23?$1.04May 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?$2.10May 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?$7.22May 23, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?$6.21May 22, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?$4.00May 22, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?$0.51May 22, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?$8.53May 22, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 22?$6.16May 22, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?$6.16May 22, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?$5.14May 22, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?$8.13May 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 21?$9.13May 21, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 21?$4.65May 21, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?$5.14May 21, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 21?$5.20May 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?$12.94May 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?$1.87May 20, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 20?$6.18May 20, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?$7.22May 20, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.