Tender-Castanet
0x8b46696e3dff948b89d677a788180c2c6292e83c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$64.79
Total PnL
$-202.52
Realised
$-12.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.14
$1.14
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.92
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 14?
846 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.54
$0.54
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Spurs
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 13, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$1.04Jun 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 13, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 13, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.04Jun 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.04Jun 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$1.00Jun 13, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.01Jun 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$6.25Jun 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.07Jun 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 14?$2.10Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?$1.00Jun 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.03Jun 13, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$6.33Jun 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.20Jun 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.28Jun 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.21Jun 13, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.01Jun 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$4.46Jun 13, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.