Mad-Species
0x8b49c289ff53713a2dca391192d1f085f11a80de
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$4.09
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$1.02Jan 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.02Jan 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Jan 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.03Jan 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.14Jan 4, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New England Patriots make the playoffs?$1.00Dec 26, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.03Dec 26, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$83.91Dec 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$161.09Dec 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$5.00Dec 13, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.00Dec 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$235.72Dec 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$14.28Dec 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.50Dec 12, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $125.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".