Itchy-Publication
0x8b4d6b0efe6ad8dd12e808e6e3c64ebfa7081a55
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-410.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?
320 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-82.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
276 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?
236 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by between 24% and 26.9% in December?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?
163 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
137 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
131 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-7.05
- NO
Will Airbnb dip to $116 in November?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $120 before 2026?$20.00Dec 6, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$10.00Dec 6, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$50.00Dec 1, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$50.00Dec 1, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$444.89Dec 1, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$12.88Nov 23, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$12.88Nov 23, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$22.42Nov 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$20.80Nov 14, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.62Nov 14, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$82.94Nov 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$1.00Nov 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$2.00Nov 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$5.00Nov 10, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$5.00Nov 10, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$95.94Nov 6, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$316.62Nov 5, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$17.33Nov 5, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb dip to $116 in November?$50.00Nov 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$20.00Nov 1, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $45.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.