Assured-Rug
0x8b4f5064b89ac4620d97a431c7a73b880a7b4e6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$11.49
Total PnL
$-0.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.70
$0.70
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.00Feb 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$1.43Feb 28, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?$2.00Feb 25, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$2.00Feb 25, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$2.00Feb 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$2.00Feb 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.35Feb 25, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.35Feb 25, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.35Feb 25, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.35Feb 25, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.46Feb 25, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.35Feb 25, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$2.00Feb 18, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.45Feb 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.00Feb 17, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Birth" or "Birthday" at Fort Bragg on Friday?$2.06Feb 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.00Feb 14, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.00Feb 14, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.00Feb 14, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.00Feb 14, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".