Dependent-Backbone
0x8b5de720a9699ac39e888ad9bd06c7fec1be57d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$-35.58
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Movistar KOI win LEC 2026 Spring?
674 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-75.37
- MOVISTAR KOI
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
450 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-121.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?
355 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-69.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 22?
349 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-120.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 2?
331 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-103.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 17?
320 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-99.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?
305 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-69.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 1?
290 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-92.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?
286 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 22?
275 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$100.00Jul 28, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$100.02Jul 28, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 28?$2.31Jul 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$0.90Jul 28, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$15.70Jul 28, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$14.30Jul 28, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$20.00Jul 28, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?$4.61Jul 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$27.99Jul 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$1.85Jul 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$6.27Jul 28, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$3.54Jul 28, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?$57.23Jul 28, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?$49.50Jul 27, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?$5.60Jul 27, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?$2.19Jul 27, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 28?$5.75Jul 27, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 28?$2.11Jul 27, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?$1.90Jul 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 27?$5.81Jul 27, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.