Legitimate-Lilac
0x8b62edb7c0ed4bccdae906e01e4f50dda8dac3cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-371.29
Realised
$-51.85
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?
1040 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
929 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-51.43
- NO
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
214 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or below on May 23?
158 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 23?
126 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
111 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-67.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$18.77Jul 30, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$20.10Jul 30, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$29.82Jul 30, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$3.14Jul 30, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.13Jul 30, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.11Jul 30, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$5.12Jul 30, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$10.31Jul 30, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$11.17Jul 30, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.13Jul 30, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$11.92Jul 30, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.23Jul 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.23Jul 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.31Jul 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$20.83Jul 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$5.13Jul 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$5.10Jul 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.29Jul 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$11.12Jul 30, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$15.49Jul 30, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.