Intrepid-Ultimatum
0x8b638a108f17289ea540cfda83f00f1a0d3f1fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-152.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
15071 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
1176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 23-March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$42.52Mar 21, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iraq next?$2.00Mar 1, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$20.00Mar 1, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Mar 1, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.00Mar 1, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Mar 1, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 12:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".