Expert-Activation
0x8b6419a9dea0ff2664d499982e0ce68060fd357f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-168.42
Realised
$2.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 16?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be greater than $260 on October 16?
1014 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
North Korea missile launch by October 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $124,000 and $126,000 on October 16?
792 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-0.79
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 6?
180 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-126.40
- YES
Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-10-03?
66 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 6?
56 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-9.52
- NO
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in October?$2.00Oct 24, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in October?$1.00Oct 24, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in October?$1.00Oct 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?$2.90Oct 23, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in October?$2.00Oct 23, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$1.10Oct 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$1.78Oct 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$0.12Oct 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$2.00Oct 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$2.00Oct 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?$2.00Oct 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 16?$2.00Oct 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$1.77Oct 16, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$0.16Oct 16, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$0.03Oct 16, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?$1.84Oct 16, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?$0.00Oct 16, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$0.04Oct 16, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?$0.00Oct 16, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $124,000 and $126,000 on October 16?$0.21Oct 16, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 21:34 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".