Giant-Earrings
0x8b6d12a6aa4966235a9bb8e817caa2b713b4a472
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-535.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$14.29Sep 21, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Africa?$25.00Apr 22, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Africa?$60.00Apr 22, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$100.00Apr 21, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$100.00Apr 21, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$150.00Apr 21, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$100.00Apr 21, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$10.16Apr 9, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLNegative GDP growth in Q1 2025?$87.92Mar 19, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in Q1 2025?$100.00Mar 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$100.00Mar 17, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $760.94Feb 27, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$20.46Jan 29, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$50.00Jan 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $50.30Jan 29, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $98.70Jan 26, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$99.90Jan 25, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $113.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 21, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.