Quirky-Vintner
0x8b711e25f94dfc9c8982d4c40cb7ac8465479ba9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.03
Realised
$0.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Clutch" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
285 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 10?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 13?
34 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 21?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Lebanon" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.72Apr 18, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMELH: Trinec vs. Mountfield HK$2.38Apr 18, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYELH: Trinec vs. Mountfield HK$1.00Mar 23, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?$1.00Mar 20, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 20?$1.82Mar 20, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 20?$2.58Mar 20, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 20?$0.00Mar 20, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 20?$1.00Mar 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?$1.00Mar 19, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 20?$1.00Mar 17, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 20?$1.00Mar 17, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Lebanon" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.00Mar 17, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?$1.64Mar 17, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.85Mar 17, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.60Mar 17, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.65Mar 17, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.05Mar 17, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.01Mar 17, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 23:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".