Ironclad-Saint
0x8b744b9a82ef4e38c176a65c2850682c2516c180
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-15.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Opalite' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bilal Coulibaly win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 2, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026?$0.95May 23, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in May 2026?$1.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 22, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.96May 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Apr 1, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Mar 2, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kel'el Ware win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Mar 2, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilal Coulibaly win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Mar 2, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bulls finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?$1.00Mar 2, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 2, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Mar 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Mar 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?$1.00Mar 2, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$1.00Mar 2, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?$1.00Feb 7, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$1.00Feb 7, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Feb 7, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Feb 7, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 23:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".