Uneven-Insulation
0x8b80ebd5b4f85bd4f221961e9194b09a1cebbb81
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.15
Total PnL
$-126.09
Realised
$-60.70
Win rate
0%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
100 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
50 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
11 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
10 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
4 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
4 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
3 shares @ 70.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
3 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
2 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.01Aug 22, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.17Apr 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.16Apr 12, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.06Apr 11, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.02Apr 11, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Apr 11, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.20Apr 11, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.01Apr 11, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.07Apr 10, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.00Apr 10, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.10Apr 10, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.00Apr 10, 22:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.