Carefree-Fingerling
0x8b85124d6c5af021799d7af21a16a76289034df6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?
458 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?
124 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
99 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.80
- NO
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in September?
76 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in September?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$79.46Mar 2, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.06Feb 21, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$50.06Feb 21, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$12.09Feb 19, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 2?$10.20Feb 3, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 2?$5.00Feb 2, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$40.00Feb 2, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$17.28Jan 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Jan 27, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.04Jan 27, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.06Jan 27, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.11Jan 27, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.30Jan 27, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $5.43Jan 27, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$6.45Jan 27, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$10.87Jan 27, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$20.80Jan 27, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?$13.57Oct 2, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?$3.00Oct 2, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$2.68Oct 2, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".