Frightened-Accuracy
0x8b86504a10027c5df1f009064123bef4d74253d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-472.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
4980 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.80
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
300 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-29.40
- YES
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
114 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?
108 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
100 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $370b and $380b on July 31?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?
60 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-13.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SOL flip ETH in 2025?$200.00Jan 3, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.44Dec 25, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$49.80Dec 23, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SOL flip ETH in 2025?$49.80Dec 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$1.13Dec 16, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire in 2025?$168.24Dec 16, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$300.63Dec 16, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$100.00Dec 8, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$30.00Nov 28, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$85.00Nov 18, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 8?$35.03Nov 18, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$48.57Nov 18, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$80.00Nov 18, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 8?$24.00Nov 5, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?$20.00Nov 5, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$34.00Nov 5, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.00Nov 5, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?$120.00Oct 31, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown by October 1?$69.84Oct 2, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$44.00Sep 22, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $46.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".