Confused-Institution
0x8b868273b6ffa4877b03ca8aeaf1024f1d73929f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 25?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 24?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28?
12 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $140 January 19-25?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?$1.00Mar 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.22Mar 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$2.35Mar 14, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Mar 14, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$3.09Mar 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.24Mar 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMEverton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$0.00Mar 14, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMEverton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$6.23Mar 14, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$2.68Feb 23, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$3.32Feb 23, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?$1.00Jan 29, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 00:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".