Grounded-Halibut
0x8b9e534054dfc23bbfaa32afadb7b389049e6838
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$7.0K
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$-100.53
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
3043 shares @ 82.2¢·now 76.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.3K
$-189.45
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
6794 shares @ 27.8¢·now 24.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.6K
$-261.04
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1493 shares @ 34.2¢·now 53.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$791.28
$281.28
- YES
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
2815 shares @ 28.4¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$703.79
$-96.20
- YES
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
1049 shares @ 47.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$487.57
$-8.91
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
932 shares @ 40.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$461.32
$88.49
- YES
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
400 shares @ 52.4¢·now 67.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$268.28
$58.28
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
2291 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$217.61
$34.36
- YES
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
52 shares @ 37.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.61
$6.11
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
49 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.28
$-1.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi$324.61Jun 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$500.12Jun 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$103.04Jun 8, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$103.04Jun 8, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$412.48Jun 8, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.8KJun 7, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$91.59Jun 7, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$203.54Jun 7, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$357.78Jun 7, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$55.87Jun 6, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?$195.87Jun 6, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$377.69Jun 5, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?$102.19Jun 5, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?$102.21Jun 5, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?$102.22Jun 5, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?$102.22Jun 5, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?$102.24Jun 5, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donyell Malen score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.23Jun 5, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Igor Thiago score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.22Jun 5, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$211.01Jun 4, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $183.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 14:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.