Shadowy-Thought
0x8ba9744bd6f0266b39032b23bca6493da36a3d98
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.52
Total PnL
$-370.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.26
$1.05
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.12
$0.00
- YES
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.13
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4AM ET
400 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-372.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.12May 10, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.12May 10, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.24May 10, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 5?$1.22May 10, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$2.44May 10, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.52May 10, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 5?$1.22Apr 4, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$2.40Apr 4, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.40Apr 4, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.27Apr 4, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.10Mar 18, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$9.1KMar 17, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$9.1KMar 17, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.47Mar 17, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET$2.4KMar 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET$106.46Mar 17, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET$393.04Mar 17, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET$499.50Mar 17, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET$235.08Mar 17, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET$299.40Mar 17, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $751.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".