0x8baa60f7b28eebd336b6480b96404fba4a28d708
0x8baa60f7b28eebd336b6480b96404fba4a28d708
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$191.74
Total PnL
$-33.30
Realised
$-11.42
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 7?
38 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$23.79
$0.57
- NO
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 6 2026?
30 shares @ 54.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$23.53
$7.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?
57 shares @ 45.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$22.99
$-2.87
- NO
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$19.83
$-0.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?
73 shares @ 34.2¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$17.07
$-7.74
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$14.95
$-0.09
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of July 6 2026?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$14.80
$0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 7?
38 shares @ 38.4¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$14.28
$-0.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 7?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$10.84
$1.49
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 6 2026?
42 shares @ 58.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$9.02
$-15.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of July 6 2026?$14.40Jul 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?$20.51Jul 6, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 6 2026?$12.40Jul 6, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 6 2026?$18.73Jul 6, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of July 6 2026?$4.50Jul 6, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 6 2026?$11.00Jul 6, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of July 6 2026?$20.10Jul 6, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of July 6 2026?$12.00Jul 6, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of July 6 2026?$12.81Jul 6, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 6 2026?$24.34Jul 6, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?$23.46Jul 6, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?$1.35Jul 6, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?$22.63Jul 6, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?$3.16Jul 6, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?$1.80Jul 6, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 7?$5.50Jul 6, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?$20.90Jul 6, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?$1.09Jul 6, 00:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.82Jul 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 7?$3.56Jul 6, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.