Nimble-Fourths
0x8bb3045e4ae434c4f26fa3c3f2edb732fef8a560
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$64.66
Total PnL
$5.45
Realised
$-1.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Hitler" during September?
20 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$20.00
$0.94
- BRONCOS
Bengals vs. Broncos
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$10.00
$2.10
- NO
Will Genoa win on 2025-09-29?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$10.00
$3.10
- NO
Will Torino win on 2025-09-29?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$10.00
$2.90
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
9 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.99
$0.29
- YES
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (September 29 - October 5)
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$4.11
$3.00
- NO
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.56
$0.00
- YES
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Sep 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$428.92Sep 29, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$429.35Sep 29, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?$402.97Sep 29, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?$403.38Sep 29, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$117.74Sep 29, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?$118.33Sep 29, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?$406.03Sep 29, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?$406.44Sep 29, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$439.50Sep 29, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$439.94Sep 29, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?$438.79Sep 29, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?$439.24Sep 29, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$407.86Sep 29, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$408.27Sep 29, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$450.84Sep 29, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$451.29Sep 29, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?$459.51Sep 29, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?$459.98Sep 29, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$442.24Sep 29, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $361.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".