Long-Term-Millstone
0x8bb4bfa7217a392c9ef97bf1a3e4dce00c6fb7e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$43.21
Total PnL
$-182.18
Realised
$3.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
43 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$43.21
$13.83
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $230 before 2026??
320 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
224 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Nuggets
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
118 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.15
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
106 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
61 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$29.38Apr 3, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?$20.00Mar 4, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.38Mar 4, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$20.79Mar 4, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $230 before 2026??$7.26Dec 6, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $230 before 2026??$2.34Dec 5, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$20.00Dec 4, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$50.00Dec 4, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$25.06Dec 1, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $540 end of November?$0.00Nov 29, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $540 end of November?$57.22Nov 29, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$10.54Nov 26, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $540 end of November?$55.39Nov 23, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?$20.36Nov 23, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?$35.03Nov 23, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?$33.70Nov 22, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$12.09Nov 22, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google reach $335 in November?$20.74Nov 19, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla dip to $375 in November?$20.00Nov 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla reach $548 in November?$20.86Nov 14, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $16.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".