Firsthand-Certainty
0x8bb5e8fcd7fba0c059c3a3c2a651036a479a8620
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-572.56
Realised
$9.19
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-12?
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-19?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-20?
70 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
63 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
59 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.79
- YES
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-04?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-05-10?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-11?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-16?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to Score$1.84May 23, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLKyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5$1.80May 23, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5$2.04May 23, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYV-Varen Nagasaki leading at halftime?$1.02May 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAuckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Score$1.02May 23, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKashima Antlers leading at halftime?$1.02May 23, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Tōkyō leading at halftime?$1.02May 23, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5$1.02May 23, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5$1.02May 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to Score$4.07May 23, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ventforet Kōfu: Both Teams to Score$1.03May 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ventforet Kōfu: O/U 1.5$2.05May 23, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLAlbirex Niigata vs. Ehime FC: O/U 2.5$5.25May 23, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLAlbirex Niigata vs. Ehime FC: Both Teams to Score$6.96May 23, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFujieda MYFC vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 1.5$1.02May 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFujieda MYFC vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 1.5$1.02May 23, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYVegalta Sendai vs. Yokohama FC: O/U 3.5$1.83May 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Gifu vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5$1.02May 23, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlbirex Niigata vs. Ehime FC: O/U 2.5$1.02May 23, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLSanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: Both Teams to Score$5.94May 23, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".